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Quinnipiac Poll: Trump Vs. Cruz Lead In Iowa GOP Caucus

Donald Trump
Donald Trump Photo Credit: Wikipedia

FAIRFIELD COUNTY, Conn. -- The Iowa Republican Caucus is a two-man race going down to the wire with Donald Trump at 31 percent and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 29 percent among likely Republican caucus participants, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.

Who do you think will win the Iowa caucus among Republican?
Final Results Voting Closed

Who do you think will win the Iowa caucus among Republican?

  • Trump
  • Cruz
  • Rubio
  • Bush
  • none of the above
  • not sure

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida is at 13 percent, with no other candidate above 7 percent.

This is virtually unchanged from results of a Jan. 11 survey showing Trump at 31 percent, with 29 percent for Cruz and 15 percent for Rubio.

The caucus is set for Monday, Feb. 1. It is the first contest in the race for the president.

Today, 2 percent are undecided and 39 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

Among Iowa Republican caucus-goers, 24 percent say they "would definitely not support" Trump, with 24 percent who would not support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Only 12 percent say 'no way' to Cruz.

"Despite Sarah Palin's endorsement of Donald Trump and Gov. Terry Branstad's criticism of Sen. Ted Cruz, and despite — or because of — Sen. Cruz' 'New York values' comments, the Iowa Republican Caucus remains too close to call," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Cruz is taking the lion's share of the right wing among Iowa likely Republican caucus participants, with Trump taking a good chunk and only a few scraps for the rest of the pack.

The poll of 651 Iowa likely Republican caucus participants has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.

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