FAIRFIELD COUNTY, Conn. — Donald Trump is close to the 50 percent mark among likely Republican primary voters in Connecticut, while Ohio Gov. John Kasich tops Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas in the race for second place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.
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A large lead among black likely Democratic primary voters and a wide margin among women Democrats propel former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to a 51 percent vs. 42 percent lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, the poll said.
Another 6 percent of voters remain undecided — and 18 percent of those who named a candidate say they might change their mind, the poll said.
Likely Republican primary voters give Trump 48 percent, with 28 percent for Kasich and 19 percent for Cruz. Only 5 percent are undecided, but 25 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before the April 26 primary.
By 59 percent to 33 percent, Connecticut Republicans want an outsider for president, rather than someone experienced in politics. Among those who want an outsider 75 percent back Trump.
"Connecticut Republicans have gone for outsider candidates such as Linda McMahon and Tom Foley. They continue that trend with Donald Trump," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz. "The conventional wisdom that Sen. Cruz is too conservative for Connecticut looks true, as he comes in a distant third in the Republican primary. Kasich clearly is outpacing Cruz for second, but running well behind Trump.
"Secretary Hillary Clinton wins on all the most important issues to voters, except for income inequality. Sen. Bernie Sanders wins on honesty, values, and empathy. But Clinton wins by bigger margins on leadership, electability, and experience."
Among Connecticut likely Republican primary voters, Trump gets 51 percent of men, with 27 percent for Kasich and 18 percent for Cruz.
A total of 56 percent of Republicans have a strongly favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of Trump, with 37 percent somewhat or strongly unfavorable.
On the Democratic side, there are wide gender and racial gaps among likely primary voters. Women back Clinton 55 percent vs 38 percent while men are divided, with 50 percent for Sanders and 45 percent for Clinton. White voters are divided with 49 percent for Clinton and 47 percent for Sanders, while black voters back Clinton 66 percent vs. 25 percent.
Sanders leads 73 percent vs. 26 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old, while Clinton leads among older Democrats.
From April 12 to April 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 823 Connecticut likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points and 1,037 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
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