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Q Poll: Sanders Keeps Slight Lead Over Clinton As Iowa Caucus Nears

Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders Photo Credit: File

With strong support from men, very liberal and younger voters, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is holding onto the lead among likely participants in the Iowa Democratic Caucus, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.

Poll
Who do you think will win the Iowa caucus among Democrats?
Final Results Voting Closed

Who do you think will win the Iowa caucus among Democrats?

  • Sanders
    86%
  • Clinton
    14%
  • O'Malley
    0%
  • Not sure
    0%

Sanders takes 49 percent of the vote, with 45 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 4 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley.

This is virtually unchanged from results of a Jan. 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University showing Sanders at 49 percent, with 44 percent for Clinton and 4 percent for O'Malley.

Today, 2 percent are undecided and 19 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

The gender gap remains as men back Sanders 63 - 32 percent, while women back Clinton 54 - 40 percent.

Likely Democratic Caucus participants 18 to 44 years old back Sanders over Clinton 78 - 21 percent.

Clinton is ahead 53 - 39 percent among voters 45 to 64 years old and 71 - 21 percent among voters over 65 years old.

"Is this deja vu all over again? Who would have thunk it when the campaign began? Secretary Hillary Clinton struggling to keep up with Sen. Bernie Sanders in the final week before the Iowa caucus," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"It must make her think of eight years ago when her failure in Iowa cost her the presidency."

Brown said the caucus, set for Feb. 1, would come down to turnout.

"If those young, very liberal Democratic Caucus participants show up Monday and are organized, it will be a good night for Sen. Sanders," Brown said. "And if Sanders does win Iowa, that could keep a long-shot nomination scenario alive."

Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants who describe themselves as "very liberal" back Sanders over Clinton 63 - 32 percent, while self-described "somewhat liberal" voters back Clinton 53 - 40 percent. "Moderate" and "conservative" voters are divided, with 47 percent for Clinton and 46 percent for Sanders.

Donald Trump holds a slight lead over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in the most recent Quinnipiac Poll. Check out the story here about the results here on the Daily Voice .

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